Why I usually Avoid the Opening Range Break (ORB) 2:1 options move

The Opening Range Break (ORB) is another pattern that is in my tradebook and identified as a 2 to 1 move - it usually does 2x what the initial bet is. My ideal trades are to look for 4:1 or 5:1 + moves but this is worth noting: - this move started right at 9:30 the open - and went from $3.90 (just under $200 risk) to $9.85 just under $500 profit. 

You can see the move is characterized by some forming bearish divergence and prices that sell off steep right at the open - you can forget the reversal plays here and if it is an intact ORB - you definitely want to stay out or away from the reversals - in fact - a continuation or momentum move is the #1 killer of a reversal pattern. 

You can see the overall move does rip and becomes an A* rated move - however most of the ORBs I've documented (like most patterns) fall in the 2:1-3:1 range where 2:1 is a conservative movement where you don't capture the entire move - while 3:1 or 4:1 is the full move from start to finish - while more rare opportunities (identified in the tradebook) go for 10:1 up to 30:1 or more from what I've seen - this is the rest of the move - as prices fall the option goes from $4 to $27 - $200 risk to $1350 in profit.