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Last 15 minutes of the trading session - a 10:1 Profit to Risk Opportunity on Time Decay

Uncategorized May 18, 2026

Watch a pattern that usually sets up in the late morning - or early afternoon - position it self 15 minutes to close. The result - an upward movement taking an expiring option from $1.35 ($67.50 risk) to $9.85 - almost $500 in profit. That is nearly a 10x return to risk move - all on one little play: 

The important part to catch is the long lower wick forming on the resistance level - the time to close - and an option with some life left in it - 

You can see the clear bullish hammer forming on the left chart + the resistance 4 (R4) level and V-shaped bottom on the RSI (relative Strength Index) + Topped out (maxed out) Average Directional Index (ADX) and bullish sloping Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram - before crossing bullish - (in bearish territory). That move pops from the lower resistance to middle VWAP - and with a daily expiring option - that move in that time of day results in a 10:1 set up - 

Author

Matt Lutey

Professor | Finance PhD

Dr. Lutey is a professor and finance PhD

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Turn One Trade Into 4x Your Risk With a Repeatable System


Tradebook documented: profit 262% in 4 hours - How to identify opportunities like +$4,118 on $1,600 risk -> $5,800 total value.

I documented several of the recent trades from my 2025-2026 brokerage account and broke it down step-by-step so you can replicate it.

A rated set up - 300% Expected Return in 15 minutes to 2 hours

B rated set up - 200% Expected Return in 15 minutes to 2 hours 

C rated set up - 100% expected return in 10 minutes or less

D rated set up - 20%-50% return in 3 minutes to 5 minutes

E rated set up - 0% profit or loss - in excess of the max gain %

What you get instantly:
✔ Exact entry + exit
✔ The risk rule that protects capital
✔ The options delta I used
✔ 2 high-probability setups for small accounts

Why this works:
This isn’t theory.

Every trade comes from a rules-based system I use daily  designed to:

  • Cut losses fast
  • Let winners run
  • Target 2:1 to 4:1+ setups consistently

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